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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.460 | $9.35 | -$0.65 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 18.87 |
| $0.530 |
| $8.11 |
| -$1.89 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.06 | $0.510 | $0.44 | -$1.12 |
| buy |
| 21.74 |
| $0.460 |
| $10 |
| 5d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | 8d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 25.13 | $0.398 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | 21d ago |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $157.50 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | 22d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.670 | $2.35 | 23d ago |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.540 | $1.32 | 23d ago |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | 27d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12?Up | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | 29d ago |
 Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.500 | $2.04 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 14.21 | $0.680 | $9.66 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.690 | $5.04 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.220 | $1.4 | Jul 23, 2026 |