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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.59 | $0.040 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.320 | $49.28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.55 |
| $0.015 |
| $0.01 |
| +$0 |
| buy |
| 105 |
| $0.920 |
| $96.6 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.200 | $2.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.810 | $1.62 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.810 | $1.62 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 110 | $0.850 | $93.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 116 | $0.884 | $102.54 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.530 | $82.68 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 83 | $0.680 | $56.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 15.5 | $0.400 | $6.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 167 | $0.410 | $68.47 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 92 | $0.988 | $90.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 92 | $0.988 | $90.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 185 | $0.440 | $81.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 91 | $0.982 | $89.36 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 91 | $0.982 | $89.36 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 143 | $0.450 | $64.35 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 199 | $0.450 | $89.55 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 25.83 | $0.968 | $25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 84 | $0.972 | $81.65 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 84 | $0.969 | $81.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.500 | $81.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 82 | $0.988 | $81.02 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.280 | $45.92 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.500 | $81.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 109 | $0.820 | $89.38 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 85 | $0.953 | $81.01 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.989 | $55.38 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 83 | $0.987 | $81.92 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.987 | $46.39 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 83 | $0.966 | $80.18 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 383 | $0.208 | $79.66 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 139 | $0.600 | $83.4 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.590 | $17.11 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 93 | $0.967 | $89.93 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.011 | $1.67 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 147 | $0.610 | $89.67 | May 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 147 | $0.620 | $91.14 | May 28, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 166 | $0.510 | $84.66 | May 26, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 166 | $0.500 | $83 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 84 | $0.981 | $82.4 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.800 | $22.4 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 84 | $0.974 | $81.82 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 77.59 | $0.040 | $3.1 | May 25, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 94 | $0.870 | $81.78 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 83 | $0.989 | $82.09 | May 24, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 92 | $0.965 | $88.78 | May 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 92 | $0.962 | $88.5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 85 | $0.954 | $81.09 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.039 | $1.64 | May 20, 2026 |