Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 43 | $0.850 | $36.55 | Jun 21, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 43 |
| $0.850 |
| $36.55 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.063 | $1.01 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.98 | $0.107 | $0.53 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.108 | $8.1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.065 | $2.41 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.063 | $2.33 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 37 | $0.920 | $34.04 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.934 | $37.36 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.934 | $37.36 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.130 | $4.29 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.235 | $13.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.230 | $17.02 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.490 | $7.35 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.967 | $45.45 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.017 | $1.56 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 42 | $0.983 | $41.29 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.983 | $41.29 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.460 | $40.48 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.330 | $3.63 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.042 | $1.3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.041 | $1.85 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.310 | $25.11 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 71 | $0.580 | $41.18 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 32 | $0.770 | $24.64 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.770 | $24.64 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.963 | $45.26 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.967 | $45.45 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 155 | $0.040 | $6.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.041 | $6.36 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.960 | $37.44 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.040 | $1.76 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Skye Valadez confirmed perp?No | sell | 3 | $0.997 | $2.99 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?No | sell | 28 | $0.992 | $27.78 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 27 | $0.990 | $26.73 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.022 | $1.25 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 27 | $0.991 | $26.76 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 28 | $0.993 | $27.8 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 29 | $0.969 | $28.1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 28 | $0.989 | $27.69 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.984 | $27.55 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.986 | $13.8 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.985 | $13.79 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 28 | $0.981 | $27.47 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 28 | $0.987 | $27.64 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?No | buy | 29 | $0.969 | $28.1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Skye Valadez confirmed perp?No | sell | 27 | $0.985 | $26.6 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.032 | $1.22 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.027 | $1.03 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 31 | $0.992 | $30.75 | Sep 17, 2025 |