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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 74.47K | $0.689 | $62.93K | +$11.65K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.151 | $163.29 | 20d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 327.32K |
| $0.330 |
| $46.97K |
| -$61.19K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 39.73K | $0.799 | $37.14K | +$5.41K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 22.83K | $0.656 | $19.52K | +$4.54K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 18.92K | $0.653 | $16.12K | +$3.76K |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.84K | $0.658 | $2.64K | +$771.91 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.71K | $0.560 | $1.61K | +$94.98 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.03K | $0.469 | $914.18 | +$429.18 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | No | 777.78 | $0.720 | $739.28 | +$179.28 |
| buy |
| 6.35K |
| $0.849 |
| $5.39K |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 762.11 | $0.710 | $541.1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 3.51K | $0.860 | $3.02K | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 283.91 | $0.690 | $195.9 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?No | sell | 191 | $0.967 | $184.7 | May 20, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 158.26 | $0.880 | $139.27 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 192 | $0.860 | $165.12 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?No | sell | 1.06K | $0.970 | $1.03K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 31.01 | $0.690 | $21.4 | May 18, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 6.39K | $0.880 | $5.62K | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 6.37K | $0.950 | $6.06K | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 14.52K | $0.700 | $10.16K | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 19.12K | $0.950 | $18.17K | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 15.66 | $0.700 | $10.96 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 7.78K | $0.694 | $5.4K | May 16, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 6.23K | $0.870 | $5.42K | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?No | buy | 212.36 | $0.890 | $189 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?No | buy | 399.44 | $0.784 | $313 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?No | buy | 92.41 | $0.790 | $73 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 326.1 | $0.689 | $224.68 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.11 | $0.691 | $29.81 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 8.5K | $0.950 | $8.07K | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 25.42 | $0.979 | $24.89 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.6K | $0.949 | $2.46K | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10.2K | $0.661 | $6.74K | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?No | buy | 120 | $0.900 | $108 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.899 | $1.08K | May 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | sell | 1.54K | $0.579 | $894.02 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 1.63K | $0.338 | $549.81 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 725.01 | $0.770 | $558.26 | May 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.51K | $0.950 | $3.33K | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.696 | $785 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.750 | $60 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 209.27 | $0.790 | $165.32 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 6.04K | $0.943 | $5.7K | May 4, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 2.61K | $0.910 | $2.38K | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?No | buy | 834.51 | $0.899 | $750 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?No | buy | 360.21 | $0.840 | $302.43 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?No | buy | 975.94 | $0.820 | $800 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?No | buy | 369.19 | $0.867 | $320 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?No | buy | 505.75 | $0.870 | $440 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?No | buy | 896.1 | $0.770 | $690 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?No | buy | 128.08 | $0.781 | $100 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?No | buy | 940 | $0.870 | $818 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 467.08 | $0.728 | $340 | May 4, 2026 |