Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 253.51 | $0.107 | $27.23 | Jul 16, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 69.46 |
| $0.525 |
| $36.47 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 31.58 | $0.190 | $6 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.235 | $25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 25.83 | $0.968 | $25 | May 20, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.309 | $25.71 | May 20, 2026 |
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?No | buy | 326.7 | $0.060 | $19.67 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will FalleN retire by June 1?No | sell | 380.56 | $0.052 | $19.67 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will FalleN retire by June 1?No | buy | 380.57 | $0.087 | $32.96 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 115.85 | $0.360 | $41.71 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 62.81 | $0.664 | $41.7 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 101.42 | $0.493 | $50 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 24.22 | $0.901 | $21.82 | Apr 7, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 261.42 | $0.160 | $41.83 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 261.42 | $0.190 | $49.67 | Apr 4, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 56.08 | $0.870 | $48.79 | Apr 3, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 292.48 | $0.003 | $0.88 | Apr 1, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 56.09 | $0.570 | $31.97 | Apr 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 32 | $0.999 | $31.97 | Apr 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 32 | $0.870 | $27.84 | Mar 24, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 214.11 | $0.130 | $27.83 | Mar 24, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 214.12 | $0.170 | $36.4 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 303.25 | $0.120 | $36.39 | Mar 23, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 170.19 | $0.270 | $45.95 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?No | sell | 54.06 | $0.850 | $45.95 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 303.25 | $0.120 | $36.39 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 43.32 | $0.840 | $36.39 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?No | buy | 54.07 | $0.900 | $48.66 | Mar 17, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 122.3 | $0.269 | $32.9 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 95.11 | $0.346 | $32.91 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 226.11 | $0.190 | $42.96 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 252.67 | $0.170 | $42.95 | Mar 11, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 48.65 | $0.959 | $46.66 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 273.71 | $0.170 | $46.66 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 43.32 | $0.840 | $36.39 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 95.11 | $0.368 | $35 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 223.08 | $0.320 | $71.39 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 108.21 | $0.272 | $29.48 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | sell | 50.11 | $0.341 | $17.09 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 114.88 | $0.244 | $28 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 50.11 | $0.359 | $18 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 91.64 | $0.637 | $58.39 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 344.51 | $0.350 | $120.58 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 219.25 | $0.550 | $120.59 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 91.65 | $0.667 | $61.13 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?No | sell | 67.92 | $0.900 | $61.13 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?No | buy | 67.92 | $0.910 | $61.81 | Mar 8, 2026 |