Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 29.5%. Yes opened at 26% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 89 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 17 Apr 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 9 Feb 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 8 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 53 points up, to 60% on 9 Feb 2026. $129.64K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 18, 8:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 17 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 26.0% |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tempting-Familiar | No | 25K |
| Sick-Portrait | No | 4.54K |
| troim | No | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if FalleN, the professional Counter-Strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from FalleN that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless FalleN explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. The resolution source will be official announcements from FalleN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-fallen-retire-by-june-1
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