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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 209.77 | $0.130 | $27.27 | Nov 28, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 2.73K |
| $0.010 |
| $27.27 |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.73K | $0.011 | $30 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will $GOAT be listed first on Binance?Yes | buy | 134.15 | $0.053 | $7.11 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.019 | $1.06 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes | sell | 43.29 | $0.140 | $6.06 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?Yes | sell | 52.06 | $0.740 | $38.52 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 170.17 | $0.994 | $169.15 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.549 | $48.86 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Lando Norris win the Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Man City win on 2024-11-02?Yes | buy | 19.35 | $0.310 | $6 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 25.92 | $0.301 | $7.8 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | sell | 106.81 | $0.580 | $61.95 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 81.17 | $0.616 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 79.55 | $0.440 | $35 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.550 | $15 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?Yes | buy | 52.07 | $0.576 | $30 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Lando Norris win the Mexico City Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 37.93 | $0.290 | $11 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Man City win on 2024-10-20?Yes | buy | 40.38 | $0.520 | $21 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?Yes | sell | 15.37 | $0.763 | $11.73 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 45.2 | $0.111 | $5 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 125.15 | $0.080 | $10 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | sell | 20.34 | $0.371 | $7.55 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?Yes | sell | 88.88 | $0.023 | $2.04 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.870 | $29 | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.390 | $6 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Will Oscar Piastri win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.013 | $0.65 | Sep 22, 2024 |
| Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.830 | $8.73 | Sep 22, 2024 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Sep 22, 2024 |
| Will Carlos Sainz win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 12.12 | $0.021 | $0.25 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Carlos Sainz win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 12.12 | $0.330 | $4 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Sep 20, 2024 |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Sep 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 10-14 times September 13-20?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Powell wear a purple tie at FOMC?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will Powell wear a purple tie at FOMC?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Will there be another debate?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes | buy | 158.11 | $0.019 | $3 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 20.35 | $0.344 | $7 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Sep 17, 2024 |
 Will Ole Miss win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes | buy | 43.29 | $0.170 | $7.36 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Sep 16, 2024 |