Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 10.37K | $0.148 | $1.17K | -$361 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.1K | $0.258 | $800 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.5K |
| $0.690 |
| $682.5 |
| -$352.5 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 3.1K | $0.258 | $636.43 | -$163.57 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 8K | $0.040 | $348 | +$28 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 147.06 | $0.680 | $99.26 | -$0.74 |
| sell |
| 837.66 |
| $0.947 |
| $793.44 |
| 13d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.288 | $144 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.786 | $1K | 18d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.710 | $355 | 22d ago |
| Will the fight be won by submission? AND O/U 4.5 Rounds AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | buy | 1.72K | $0.028 | $47.68 | 24d ago |
 UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Islam Makhachev | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | 24d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 609.75 | $0.993 | $605.48 | 25d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 3.13K | $0.080 | $250 | 27d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 837.66 | $0.597 | $500 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 609.76 | $0.820 | $500 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.339 | $500 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 3.13K | $0.320 | $1K | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.451 | $901.85 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | buy | 16.79K | $0.030 | $500 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 4.69K | $0.200 | $938.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.69K | $0.213 | $1K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 5K | $0.790 | $3.95K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.21K | $0.161 | $1K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 3.75K | $0.800 | $3K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.800 | $1K | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 232.55 | $0.070 | $16.28 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.999 | $7.99 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.44K | $0.830 | $1.2K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.370 | $2.96 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes | sell | 999.98 | $0.130 | $130.32 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway | sell | 192.3 | $0.115 | $22.11 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.79K | $0.132 | $500 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.329 | $500 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30.67 | $0.326 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.23K | $0.306 | $1.29K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 877 | $0.370 | $324.49 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.730 | $803 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.1K | $0.392 | $2K | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.128 | $384.44 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Yes | buy | 918.67 | $0.170 | $156.17 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 6.85K | $0.438 | $3K | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.998 | $16.09 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 17.88K | $0.998 | $17.85K | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 26.49K | $0.929 | $24.61K | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 16.13K | $0.620 | $10K | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.570 | $1K | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 2.21K | $0.985 | $2.18K | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 18.52K | $0.735 | $13.62K | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 13.86K | $0.981 | $13.59K | Mar 29, 2026 |