Latest trade
Oct 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 5:24 AM UTC.
Analytics
LostInTheMuzic has made $417.51 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 5:24 AM UTC.
$20 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 106 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Jan 28, 2026 UTC to Oct 1, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 305.87 | $0.715 | $230.93 | +$12.27 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | 14d ago |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 02:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
12 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 05:24 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 05:24 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-30 18:39 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $1.21K and losing ones cost $1.29K across the latest 50 settled positions. 48% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $223.68 on “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $376.36 on “Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?” (No).
It first traded on 2 Jan 2026 and most recently on 1 Oct 2026. It has traded 112 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.02K across 12 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 406.36 |
| $0.354 |
| $226.75 |
| +$82.96 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 251.58 | $0.238 | $199.38 | +$139.38 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100.01 | $0.760 | $83.51 | +$7.5 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 104.17 | $0.720 | $72.4 | -$2.6 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 184.8 | $0.622 | $64.59 | -$50.41 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 240.19 | $0.572 | $61.25 | -$76.15 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50.32 | +$0.32 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.320 | $14.69 | -$5.31 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.120 | $7.92 | -$2.08 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.012 | $7.71 | +$2.71 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5.28 | +$0.28 |
| sell |
| 408.73 |
| $0.048 |
| $19.62 |
| 15d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 103.77 | $0.360 | $37.36 | 15d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | 24d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.063 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.720 | $75 | 24d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 103.77 | $0.530 | $55 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.88 | $0.638 | $65 | 24d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 92.59 | $0.050 | $4.63 | 26d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | 28d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 82.92 | $0.603 | $50 | 28d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 125.48 | $0.300 | $37.64 | 28d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 189.44 | $0.400 | $75.78 | 28d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 62.96 | $0.318 | $20 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 62.31 | $0.321 | $20 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?No | sell | 56.24 | $0.751 | $42.24 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?No | buy | 56.24 | $0.889 | $50 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 126.58 | $0.473 | $59.88 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | sell | 90.99 | $0.004 | $0.36 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.828 | $8.27 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 11.1 | $0.828 | $9.19 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 39.9 | $0.862 | $34.38 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 71.43 | $0.420 | $30 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 145.57 | $0.687 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.540 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 169.49 | $0.590 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 786.72 | $0.999 | $785.93 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.45 | $0.719 | $60 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 121.82 | $0.821 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 126.58 | $0.237 | $30 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 75 | $0.978 | $73.35 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 121.62 | $0.984 | $119.67 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 105.54 | $0.758 | $80 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 40.54 | $0.910 | $36.89 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.570 | $31.35 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | sell | 277.95 | $0.040 | $11.12 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 66.14 | $0.378 | $25 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 40.32 | $0.540 | $21.77 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.