Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 262.46 | $0.347 | $91.15 | Jun 22, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 400 |
| $0.100 |
| $40 |
| May 24, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Future" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | May 24, 2025 |
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 81.85 | $0.233 | $19.07 | May 17, 2025 |
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | May 17, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.100 | $16.67 | May 17, 2025 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | sell | 149.18 | $0.100 | $14.92 | May 17, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.110 | $8.46 | May 17, 2025 |
Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?Yes | sell | 58.59 | $0.056 | $3.26 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 149.18 | $0.110 | $16.41 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?No | buy | 6.35 | $0.570 | $3.62 | Mar 24, 2025 |
U.S. forces in Gaza before July?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Mar 24, 2025 |
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?No | sell | 16.74 | $0.037 | $0.62 | Mar 12, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 42.04 | $0.285 | $11.98 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 309.05 | $0.023 | $7.19 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 38.19 | $0.210 | $8.02 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?Yes | sell | 20.04 | $0.400 | $8.02 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be less than 47.0% on February 21?Yes | sell | 0.98 | $0.002 | $0 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 43.7 | $0.600 | $26.22 | Feb 22, 2025 |
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?No | sell | 72.42 | $0.300 | $21.73 | Feb 22, 2025 |
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?No | buy | 16.74 | $0.520 | $8.7 | Feb 21, 2025 |
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?No | buy | 72.42 | $0.260 | $18.83 | Feb 21, 2025 |
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.83 | $0.800 | $15.06 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Will Trump sue AOC before March?Yes | buy | 343.24 | $0.029 | $10.05 | Feb 17, 2025 |
U.S. Federal judge impeached before April?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Feb 17, 2025 |
Will Trump jail Hillary Clinton?Yes | buy | 336.4 | $0.030 | $9.99 | Feb 16, 2025 |
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?No | buy | 38.89 | $0.154 | $5.98 | Feb 16, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Feb 16, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 309.06 | $0.032 | $10 | Feb 16, 2025 |
AOC charged before July?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Feb 15, 2025 |
Will El Salvador/Bukele launch a memecoin before April?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Feb 15, 2025 |
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be less than 47.0% on February 21?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Feb 15, 2025 |
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 196.57 | $0.035 | $6.86 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 75.65 | $0.132 | $9.99 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.9% on February 14?Yes | buy | 4.02 | $0.490 | $1.97 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?No | buy | 13.09 | $0.123 | $1.61 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.9% on February 14?Yes | sell | 154.28 | $0.010 | $1.62 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 20.05 | $0.220 | $4.41 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Was JFK assassination an inside job?Yes | sell | 185.18 | $0.040 | $7.41 | Feb 12, 2025 |
U.S. forces in Gaza before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.048 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
U.S. Federal judge impeached before April?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Big Balls removed from DOGE in February?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 196.58 | $0.025 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 32.03 | $0.312 | $10 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 123.1 | $0.081 | $10 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Was JFK assassination an inside job?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
25% aluminum tariff in effect before May?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |