Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 22 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 45.4% on 31 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 27 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 45.4% on 31 Jan 2025. $6.66K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 7:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 22 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2025 | 13.5% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyDump | Yes | 6.36 |
| melis-530 | No | 6.02 |
| willis1111 | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On January 19, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez referred to President Donald Trump as a rapist (see: https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5095601-ocasio-cortez-skips-trump-inauguration/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be statements from relevant courts, Donald Trump, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, or any of their legal representatives and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-sue-aoc-before-march
| No |
| 0.02 |
| vveranddnis | No | 0.02 |
| dolmil | No | 0.02 |
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