Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 84.4 | $0.730 | $61.61 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 84.43 |
| $0.300 |
| $25.33 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.4 | $0.630 | $53.17 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 84.43 | $0.290 | $24.48 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 34 | $0.360 | $12.24 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.236 | $8.02 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.140 | $4.76 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.130 | $4.42 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.112 | $3.81 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.995 | $5.83 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 182.2 | $0.850 | $154.87 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 182.27 | $0.140 | $25.46 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 345 | $0.620 | $213.9 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 153 | $0.620 | $94.86 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 303.33 | $0.962 | $291.71 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the fight not be scored by January 31?No | buy | 130 | $0.970 | $126.1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.019 | $2.49 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Megaquake by December 31?No | buy | 205 | $0.920 | $188.6 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionNo | buy | 205 | $0.076 | $15.67 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.045 | $6.12 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Venezuela ParlayNo | buy | 136 | $0.960 | $130.56 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.560 | $62.72 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?Yes | buy | 111.66 | $0.400 | $44.66 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 314 | $0.640 | $200.96 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 281 | $0.006 | $1.69 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 281 | $0.510 | $143.31 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 281 | $0.043 | $12.06 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 605 | $0.061 | $36.72 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 566.09 | $0.961 | $544.01 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $108K on September 1?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.880 | $440 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on September 1?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.110 | $55 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be greater than $180 on August 13?Yes | buy | 539.01 | $0.320 | $172.48 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Solana above $180 on August 13?No | buy | 550 | $0.685 | $376.81 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.760 | $410.4 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.090 | $48.6 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.050 | $27 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.011 | $5.94 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.039 | $21.06 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.042 | $22.85 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 543 | $0.920 | $499.56 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will another person win the South Korean election?Yes | buy | 543 | $0.060 | $32.58 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.370 | $429.2 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by over 18%?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.130 | $150.8 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by 12–18%?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.120 | $139.2 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by 6–12%?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.140 | $162.4 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.230 | $266.8 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16?No | buy | 160 | $0.870 | $139.2 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will BTC close above $98K on May 16?No | buy | 160 | $0.120 | $19.2 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin close above $104K on May 16?No | buy | 107 | $0.490 | $52.43 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110000 on May 16?Yes | buy | 107 | $0.150 | $16.05 | May 10, 2025 |