Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$773.0K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 20, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 21 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 20 Dec 2025, the highest close was 7.6% on 30 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.8% on 20 Dec 2025. $773.04K traded over the market's life.

140 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 20 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Nov 2025	7.5%
20 Dec 2025	0.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	929.62K
Paracellus	Yes	115K
210MM	Yes	71.4K
swag37	Yes	59.62K

10 of 140 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules