Latest trade
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 1:29 AM UTC.
Analytics
Thorny-Philosopher has made $201.86 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 44 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 1:29 AM UTC.
$20 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 42 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Jun 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 63.83 | $0.470 | $56.49 | +$26.49 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.85 | $0.650 | $9 | 10h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-03 00:17 UTC
Polymarket public position response
13 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 01:29 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 01:29 UTC
polymarket positions
45 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-03 00:17 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $437.39 and losing ones cost $82.74 across 44 settled positions. 72.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $107.97 on “Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?” (No); the largest loss, $20 on “Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 26 Oct 2026. It has traded 68 markets. Its open positions are worth $252.59 across 13 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 36.14 |
| $0.830 |
| $33.8 |
| +$3.8 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 50.93 | $0.589 | $31.83 | +$1.83 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 904.43 | $0.066 | $30.3 | -$29.7 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 39.25 | $0.630 | $25.71 | +$0.98 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.870 | $18.45 | -$11.55 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 45.87 | $0.327 | $11.81 | -$3.19 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 29.41 | $0.340 | $9.71 | -$0.29 |
 Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? | No | 77.57 | $0.129 | $9.7 | -$0.3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.85 | $0.650 | $8.93 | -$0.07 |
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? | No | 76.92 | $0.130 | $7.31 | -$2.69 |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? | No | 37.04 | $0.270 | $4.81 | -$5.19 |
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? | No | 50 | $0.200 | $3.75 | -$6.25 |
| buy |
| 45.87 |
| $0.327 |
| $15 |
| 6d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 39.25 | $0.630 | $24.73 | Sep 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 44.78 | $0.670 | $30 | Sep 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Sep 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.057 | $30 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?No | sell | 30.76 | $0.999 | $30.73 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 44.11 | $0.920 | $40.58 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?No | buy | 77.57 | $0.129 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | buy | 378.11 | $0.079 | $30 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?Yes | buy | 33.35 | $0.450 | $15 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 29?Yes | buy | 814 | $0.025 | $20 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 29?Yes | buy | 245.06 | $0.082 | $20 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 67.99 | $0.015 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29?Down | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 63.83 | $0.470 | $30 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 50.93 | $0.589 | $30 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.760 | $40 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No | sell | 107.92 | $0.185 | $19.99 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETDown | sell | 10.63 | $0.280 | $2.98 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETUp | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETDown | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?Yes | buy | 126.56 | $0.079 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 116.95 | $0.376 | $43.97 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 168.14 | $0.211 | $35.48 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 118.34 | $0.199 | $23.55 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 103.09 | $0.191 | $19.69 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No | buy | 107.92 | $0.185 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 103.09 | $0.194 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 83.01 | $0.994 | $82.51 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.680 | $30 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.