Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 44 settled positions.
Thorny-Philosopher has made $201.86 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 63.83 | $0.470 | $56.49 | +$26.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-03 00:17 UTC
Polymarket public position response
13 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 19:41 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 19:41 UTC
polymarket positions
45 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-03 00:17 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $437.39 and losing ones cost $82.74 across 44 settled positions. 72.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $107.97 on “Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?” (No); the largest loss, $20 on “Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?” (No).
It has traded 68 markets. Its open positions are worth $239.48 across 13 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 36.14 |
| $0.830 |
| $33.07 |
| +$3.07 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 50.93 | $0.589 | $29.03 | -$0.97 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 39.25 | $0.630 | $25.71 | +$0.98 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.870 | $20 | -$10 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 904.43 | $0.066 | $19.45 | -$40.55 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 45.87 | $0.327 | $11.65 | -$3.35 |
 Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? | No | 77.57 | $0.129 | $9.7 | -$0.3 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.85 | $0.650 | $9.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 29.41 | $0.340 | $8.82 | -$1.18 |
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? | No | 76.92 | $0.130 | $7.31 | -$2.69 |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? | No | 37.04 | $0.270 | $5.19 | -$4.81 |
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? | No | 50 | $0.200 | $3.73 | -$6.28 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
