Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:44 AM UTC.
Analytics
fishka is down $320.76 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:44 AM UTC.
$100 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from May 27, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 72.46 | $0.690 | $68.48 | +$18.48 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes | buy | 521.62 | $0.192 | $100 | 3d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 06:05 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 03:44 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 03:44 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 06:05 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.18K and losing ones cost $241.62 across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $131.23 on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $105.25 on “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 64 markets. Its open positions are worth $82.38 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 89.99 |
| $0.269 |
| $13.9 |
| -$10.3 |
| buy |
| 113.64 |
| $0.880 |
| $100 |
| Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 519.24 | $0.963 | $500 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 156.88 | $0.637 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.420 | $100 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 403.65 | $0.999 | $403.25 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 235.96 | $0.890 | $210 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 696.17 | $0.999 | $695.47 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 266.67 | $0.750 | $200 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 68.97 | $0.580 | $40 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 155.93 | $0.032 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 219.78 | $0.910 | $200 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 252.63 | $0.950 | $240 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 352.94 | $0.850 | $300 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 24.95 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 209.32 | $0.998 | $208.9 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.2 | $0.540 | $60 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 44.78 | $0.670 | $30 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 315.79 | $0.950 | $300 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 244.68 | $0.940 | $230 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 702.58 | $0.999 | $701.88 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.960 | $320 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 50.55 | $0.910 | $46 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No | buy | 208.39 | $0.960 | $200 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No | buy | 235.9 | $0.975 | $230 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No | buy | 111.7 | $0.940 | $105 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No | buy | 306.44 | $0.979 | $300 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?No | buy | 403.67 | $0.991 | $400 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 414.46 | $0.965 | $400 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.