Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.01 |
| $0.993 |
| $2 |
| May 8, 2026 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 20.38 | $0.990 | $20.18 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 20.39 | $0.981 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 33.06 | $0.993 | $32.83 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 33.07 | $0.998 | $33 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 30.33 | $0.988 | $29.97 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 30.33 | $0.989 | $30 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.988 | $2.99 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 30.06 | $0.996 | $29.94 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 14.77 | $0.948 | $14 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 10.07 | $0.992 | $9.99 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.3 | $0.984 | $19.98 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.3 | $0.985 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 20.04 | $0.995 | $19.94 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 10.05 | $0.994 | $9.99 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | sell | 3 | $0.996 | $2.99 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Southampton wins the Premier League?No | buy | 34.1 | $0.997 | $34 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Leicester City wins the Premier League?No | sell | 19.05 | $0.996 | $18.97 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?No | sell | 15.16 | $0.987 | $14.96 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Leicester City wins the Premier League?No | buy | 19.06 | $0.997 | $19 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?No | buy | 15.17 | $0.989 | $15 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: OtherNo | sell | 25.05 | $0.997 | $24.97 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 9.05 | $0.993 | $8.99 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 9.05 | $0.994 | $9 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherNo | buy | 25.05 | $0.998 | $25 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 34.17 | $0.999 | $34.14 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 34.17 | $0.995 | $34 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 351.41 | $0.994 | $349.3 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will William McRaven be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 563.38 | $0.991 | $558.56 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Wes Moore be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 252.27 | $0.986 | $248.74 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 421.94 | $0.947 | $399.58 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 351.41 | $0.996 | $350 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will William McRaven be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 563.38 | $0.994 | $560 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Wes Moore be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 252.27 | $0.991 | $250 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 421.94 | $0.948 | $400 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 [Single Market] Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 100.2 | $0.990 | $99.2 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 200.6 | $0.995 | $199.6 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 353.54 | $0.987 | $348.94 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 408.17 | $0.979 | $399.6 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 [Single Market] Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 370.74 | $0.994 | $368.52 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 [Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 250.5 | $0.993 | $248.75 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 200.6 | $0.997 | $200 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 353.54 | $0.990 | $350 | Jul 24, 2024 |