Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 25% on 26 Apr 2023. Before it settled, across the 467 daily closes on record from 26 Apr 2023 to 7 Aug 2024 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 26 Apr 2023 and the lowest 0.2% on 7 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 23.5% on 5 May 2023. $641.85K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 5:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 467 points, 26 Apr 2023 – 7 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2023 | 25.0% |
| 7 Aug 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GreatestStoryNeverTold | Yes | 3.63K |
| domwastaken | Yes | 3.44K |
| Spiteful-Survival | Yes | 3.36K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-us-2024-democratic-presidential-nomination
| Ashit Patel | Yes | 3.22K |
| Pertinent-Vegetable | Yes | 2K |
| bradcm1 | Yes | 1.25K |
| Filthy-Assistant | Yes | 1.25K |
| Spherical-Tribe | Yes | 1.11K |
| Punctual-Rifle | Yes | 1K |
| teslu292 | Yes | 840.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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