Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 32.22 | $0.931 | $30.97 | +$0.97 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11.24 |
| $0.890 |
| $10.62 |
| +$0.62 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7.12 | +$0.12 |
| buy |
| 13.12 |
| $0.762 |
| $10 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 16.38 | $0.916 | $15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 10.58 | $0.945 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 16.48 | $0.910 | $15 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?No | buy | 27.95 | $0.894 | $25 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 32.22 | $0.931 | $30 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 25.99 | $0.885 | $23 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | May 12, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?Up | sell | 75.95 | $0.014 | $1.06 | May 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?Up | sell | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | May 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?Up | sell | 200 | $0.014 | $2.8 | May 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?Up | sell | 200 | $0.013 | $2.6 | May 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?Up | sell | 200 | $0.013 | $2.6 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.976 | $5.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.931 | $5.47 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No | sell | 5.76 | $0.954 | $5.5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 5.96 | $0.999 | $5.95 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 6.34 | $0.986 | $6.25 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 8.04 | $0.950 | $7.64 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 29.65 | $0.980 | $29.06 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5K | $0.985 | $4.93K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5K | $0.986 | $4.93K | Mar 3, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 39.38 | $0.920 | $36.23 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 275.62 | $0.930 | $256.33 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | sell | 300 | $0.800 | $240 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 29.66 | $0.970 | $28.77 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.920 | $7.4 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be less than 2,000,000?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.986 | $5.8 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.951 | $5.6 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 5.91 | $0.981 | $5.8 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 9, 2026?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.985 | $6.4 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 2-8?No | buy | 21.21 | $0.943 | $20 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | buy | 25.27 | $0.969 | $24.49 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | buy | 20.45 | $0.978 | $20 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 20.61 | $0.970 | $19.99 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 6.34 | $0.962 | $6.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.988 | $5.7 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.956 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 5.97 | $0.955 | $5.7 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETUp | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Jan 29, 2026 |