Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.3 |
| $0.770 |
| $1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.932 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by November 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 US strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy before October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 @nubcat unsuspended from X by September 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Rainbow airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?Up | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Syria by August 31?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.739 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| US strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Rainbow airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before July?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before July?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |