Analytics
genius520 is down $83.36 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.93 | $0.658 | $3.24 | +$0.65 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-04 08:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
17 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 20:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 20:52 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-04 08:32 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $98.92 and losing ones cost $6.95 across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.86 on “Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2 on “Patriots vs. Bengals” (Bengals).
It has traded 811 markets. Its open positions are worth $24.03 across 17 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3.41 |
| $0.734 |
| $2.71 |
| +$0.21 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 4.2 | $0.476 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 5.95 | $0.193 | $2.24 | +$1.09 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.2 | $0.340 | $1.14 | +$0.73 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | 1.14 | $0.879 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.26 | $0.760 | $1.02 | +$0.07 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1.35 | $0.740 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.790 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.57 | $0.870 | $0.53 | +$0.03 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
