Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 67.42 | $0.890 | $59.66 | -$0.34 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 22.47 | $0.910 | $20.45 | 17d ago |
 |
| No |
| 33.48 |
| $0.896 |
| $32.19 |
| +$2.19 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.34 | $0.900 | $31.17 | +$1.17 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 32.97 | $0.910 | $31.16 | +$1.15 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 23.26 | $0.946 | $22.13 | +$0.13 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 17.21 | $0.890 | $16.49 | +$1.17 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.26 | $0.922 | $15.21 | +$0.21 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.93 | $0.838 | $9.25 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 23.26 |
| $0.946 |
| $22 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | sell | 14.52 | $0.703 | $10.21 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 67.42 | $0.890 | $60 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 108.43 | $0.830 | $90 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 32.97 | $0.910 | $30 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.992 | $2.68 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.76 | $0.929 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ETUp | sell | 11.11 | $0.480 | $5.33 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | sell | 1.12 | $0.010 | $0.01 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | sell | 2.46 | $0.010 | $0.02 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.800 | $6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.210 | $1.1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ETUp | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.26 | $0.973 | $7.06 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 13.1 | $0.988 | $12.94 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 158.83 | $0.860 | $136.59 | May 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.960 | $7 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.986 | $2.05 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.985 | $5.04 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.950 | $5.51 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.931 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.26 | $0.902 | $6.55 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.54 | $0.976 | $2.48 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.976 | $2.03 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.07 | $0.974 | $2.02 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 17.21 | $0.890 | $15.32 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 15.38 | $0.994 | $15.29 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 10.85 | $0.839 | $9.1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 8.45 | $0.840 | $7.1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.999 | $4.08 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.928 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.975 | $15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.490 | $4.62 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 14.39 | $0.999 | $14.38 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |