Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 25.51 | $0.588 | $22.32 | +$7.32 |
 Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?No | buy | 17.33 | $0.923 | $16 | Jun 10, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 22.73 |
| $0.880 |
| $21.48 |
| +$1.48 |
| buy |
| 22.73 |
| $0.880 |
| $20 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 25.51 | $0.588 | $15 | May 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 8.57 | $0.400 | $3.43 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 8.57 | $0.700 | $6 | May 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 27.24 | $0.955 | $26 | May 19, 2026 |
 Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?No | buy | 22.34 | $0.940 | $21 | May 19, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 61.14 | $0.965 | $59 | May 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No | buy | 85.56 | $0.900 | $77 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 60.44 | $0.910 | $55 | May 7, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
 Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.72 | $0.848 | $4 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.35 | $0.747 | $4 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.800 | $12.9 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?No | buy | 5.72 | $0.920 | $5.26 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 200–214 times May 30–June 6?No | buy | 7.18 | $0.975 | $7 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April?No | buy | 13.36 | $0.973 | $13 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $290b and $300b on April 30?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Solana hit $190 in March?No | buy | 14.72 | $0.951 | $14 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 15.54 | $0.965 | $15 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 18.67 | $0.750 | $14 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Brian Armstrong say Base during his X space?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.960 | $18 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-25?Yes | buy | 16.85 | $0.890 | $15 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Pelicans vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 28.89 | $0.692 | $20 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 $PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?No | buy | 20.75 | $0.964 | $20 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 20.47 | $0.977 | $20 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 21.12 | $0.947 | $20 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 34.13 | $0.967 | $33 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times during NBC interview?Yes | buy | 41.15 | $0.608 | $25 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Leicester win on 2024-12-08?No | buy | 30.49 | $0.820 | $25 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 44.62 | $0.986 | $44 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?Yes | buy | 33.54 | $0.984 | $33 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Southampton win on 2024-11-24?No | buy | 27.83 | $0.930 | $25.88 | Nov 21, 2024 |
| Celtics vs. WizardsCeltics | buy | 27.78 | $0.900 | $25 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 60 or more times Nov 15-22?No | buy | 46.45 | $0.976 | $45.34 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Ripple above $0.87 on November 22?Yes | buy | 28.74 | $0.870 | $25 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 200 times November 15-22?No | buy | 50.89 | $0.983 | $50 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 62.2 | $0.900 | $55.98 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Solana above $200 on November 15?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Nov 14, 2024 |