Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 12 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 12 May 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 12 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 10.5% on 13 May 2026. $91.43K traded over the market's life.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 6:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 12 May 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 | 22.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MtnMark | Yes | 8.09K |
| freshlymint | Yes | 3.21K |
| Maikel.Nait | Yes | 2.18K |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-outbreak-by-june-30
| ScamboAndWendys | Yes | 1.85K |
| jaybd | Yes | 1.57K |
| Matrix2026 | Yes | 1.48K |
| futureman. | Yes | 1.08K |
| kandinsky | Yes | 1.05K |
| Elated-Walkway | Yes | 1K |
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