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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 20.74 | $0.965 | $20.7 | +$0.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
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| No |
| 4.17 |
| $0.960 |
| $4.02 |
| +$0.02 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3.11 | +$0.11 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2.17 | +$0.17 |
| buy |
| 5.05 |
| $0.990 |
| $5 |
| May 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 101.61 | $0.984 | $100 | May 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp | buy | 25.77 | $0.970 | $25 | May 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 16?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | May 15, 2026 |
Will CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | May 12, 2026 |
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 446.23 | $0.993 | $443.11 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 20.74 | $0.965 | $20 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.960 | $4 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 446.23 | $0.995 | $444 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 51.52 | $0.990 | $51 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Jaime Dunn win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.986 | $20 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Eva Copa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 20?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.957 | $10 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 16 at 5 PM ET?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 179.26 | $0.996 | $178.54 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Jeffrey Randall Allen (Player 831) win the Beast Games?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Feb 12, 2025 |
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Yes | buy | 30.93 | $0.970 | $30 | Jan 12, 2025 |
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Yes | buy | 30.93 | $0.970 | $30 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will Ipswich vs. Brighton end in a draw?No | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will Manchester United vs. Southampton end in a draw?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will Leicester win on 2025-01-15?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk?No | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Will Laura Loomer get her bluecheck back by Friday?No | buy | 18.33 | $0.600 | $11 | Dec 31, 2024 |
U.S. Recession in 2024?No | buy | 101.52 | $0.985 | $100 | Dec 9, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 35.23 | $0.880 | $31 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2024?No | buy | 18.03 | $0.832 | $15 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.930 | $30 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.950 | $15 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 15.46 | $0.970 | $15 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 15.64 | $0.959 | $15 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.280 | $1.52 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.300 | $0.5 | Oct 16, 2024 |
Will there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.981 | $2.02 | Oct 16, 2024 |
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.580 | $0.8 | Oct 3, 2024 |
Will there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Sep 1, 2024 |