Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 15.5%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 3 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 3 May 2026 to 15 May 2026, the highest close was 34.5% on 3 May 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 13 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 16.5% on 10 May 2026. $165.95K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 10:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 3 May 2026 – 15 May 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | 34.5% |
| 15 May 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Rostrum-Gig | No | 5.1K |
| mortewfenloin | No | 313.33 |
| lavendergooms | No | 297.04 |
| cort360 | No | 176.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Friday, May 15, 2026 between CD Castellón and Cádiz CF.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-cas-cad-2026-05-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| thenerdaiguy | No | 124.04 |
| Unripe-Hop | No | 118.89 |
| EVAJ1 | No | 94.57 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 81.81 |
| thegreath0udini | No | 70.05 |
| CavaSoTasty | No | 66.58 |
