Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 42% on 7 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 42% on 7 Dec 2024 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 23% on 8 Dec 2024. $74.11K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 7 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2024 | 42.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mx2424 | Yes | 5.06K |
| klpz | Yes | 1.9K |
| ralphbets | Yes | 596.73 |
| phroge | Yes | 554.99 |
| onurcrg | Yes | 360.06 |
| Herakles50 | Yes | 174.73 |
| AssFace | Yes | 86.45 |
| Gentleman | Yes | 50 |
| Gabriel36 | Yes | 40.3 |
| QwackQwack | Yes | 30 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Gävle Goat, a traditional Christmas display erected annually in Gävle, Sweden, is set on fire by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The fire must be confirmed by an official Gävle Goat social media account, the City of Gävle's official website, or a consensus of credible reporting. If the Gävle Goat is destroyed by other means, or otherwise remains unburned through this market's end date, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-gvle-goat-burn-in-2024
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