Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | May 14, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 8 |
| $0.200 |
| $1.6 |
| May 14, 2026 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | May 14, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.230 | $4.14 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.849 | $4.25 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.003 | $1.02 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.988 | $8.59 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Down | sell | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | sell | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.075 | $7.5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | buy | 5 | $0.885 | $4.43 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Down | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by February 28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.989 | $8.6 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.008 | $0.21 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 13.05 | $0.383 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.100 | $8 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Yes | buy | 18.9 | $0.946 | $17.88 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 9?Yes | sell | 45.56 | $0.002 | $0.09 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | sell | 17.54 | $0.022 | $0.39 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 6?Yes | buy | 21.02 | $0.048 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 10?Yes | buy | 64.12 | $0.016 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 9?Yes | buy | 45.56 | $0.022 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 105.24 | $0.200 | $21.05 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.049 | $2 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7 PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6 PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5 PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9 PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Pacers vs. KnicksPacers | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?No | sell | 11.57 | $0.620 | $7.17 | May 29, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend F1 Miami GP?No | sell | 5.65 | $0.910 | $5.14 | May 3, 2025 |
| Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?No | buy | 11.57 | $0.691 | $8 | Apr 23, 2025 |