Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 17.89 | $0.950 | $17.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 13.79 | $0.860 | $11.86 | May 25, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.99 |
| $0.910 |
| $10.95 |
| +$0.95 |
| buy |
| 5.32 |
| $0.940 |
| $5 |
| May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 7.36 | $0.951 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?No | sell | 8.51 | $0.997 | $8.48 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.938 | $6 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.870 | $12 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 2 weeks?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.840 | $9 | May 25, 2026 |
 Vicenza: Lukas Neumayer vs Li TuLukas Neumayer | buy | 8.05 | $0.870 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-25?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.910 | $8 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Rosenborg BK end in a draw?No | buy | 11.46 | $0.960 | $11 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 26?No | buy | 7.78 | $0.900 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 61.3 | $0.993 | $60.87 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on March 19?No | buy | 4.68 | $0.985 | $4.61 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.47 | $0.860 | $9 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.978 | $6.87 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $185?No | buy | 14.85 | $0.943 | $14 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 6?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.976 | $6 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?No | sell | 21.11 | $0.940 | $19.84 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 17.89 | $0.950 | $17 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.870 | $7 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.900 | $7 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?No | buy | 21.11 | $0.900 | $19 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 61.31 | $0.995 | $61 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the Miami Dolphins make the playoffs?No | buy | 40.2 | $0.995 | $40 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Sage Ahrens-Nichols win Survivor season 49?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.986 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Kristina Mills win Survivor season 49?No | buy | 20.07 | $0.996 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?No | buy | 20.75 | $0.964 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?No | buy | 9.76 | $0.820 | $8 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 1?No | buy | 40.16 | $0.996 | $40 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 11.16 | $0.986 | $11 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?No | buy | 50.43 | $0.984 | $49.62 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Siversk by October 31?No | buy | 51.55 | $0.970 | $50 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 27?Up | buy | 23.47 | $0.980 | $23 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Tyler Robinson released by September 19?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.989 | $12 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 74°F or below on August 25?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 23?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Putin and Zelenskyy talk by August 22?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Megaquake in 2025?No | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.930 | $12 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or below on July 3?No | buy | 1.64K | $0.996 | $1.63K | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 338.1 | $0.630 | $213 | Jun 29, 2025 |