Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 0.9% on 13 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 13 Sep 2025 to 20 Sep 2025, the highest close was 0.9% on 13 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Sep 2025. $67.28K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 21, 12:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 13 Sep 2025 – 20 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | 0.9% |
| 20 Sep 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| investerfester | Yes | 1K |
| CIonazepam | Yes | 926.51 |
| atomato | Yes | 472.22 |
| Tonymontana96 | Yes | 333.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On September 12, law enforcement identified Tyler Robinson as a primary suspect in Charlie Kirk's assassination and took him into custody. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is released from custody by September 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tyler Robinson is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes." Transporting Tyler Robinson to another location of custody will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the respective law enforcement agencies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tyler-robinson-released-by-september-19
| linkengongyuan | Yes | 250 |
| 0xo.eth | Yes | 211.11 |
| BigMoneyJ | Yes | 200 |
| welldonawan | Yes | 200 |
| an0nymekatze | Yes | 100 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 13 |
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