
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 77.5% on 25 Apr 2026 and the low 1.4% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 28% on 19 May 2026. $31.3K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 7:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 41 points · 22 Apr 2026 – 1 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 66.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-811
| Opulent-Communicant | Yes | 76.92 |
| Fearful-Alphabet-Thump | Yes | 56.28 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| CineMa | Yes | 50 |
| Trained-Nucleotidase | Yes | 49.89 |
| Colala | Yes | 44.93 |
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