Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 21 | $0.185 | $1.26 | -$2.62 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes | buy | 6.92 | $0.786 | $5.44 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.080 |
| $0.8 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.342 | $3.42 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.481 | $4.81 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.554 | $5.54 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.720 | $14.39 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.020 | $0.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.09 | $0.240 | $0.5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 11.15 | $0.200 | $2.23 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.015 | $2.25 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?No | sell | 23.28 | $0.987 | $22.98 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | sell | 7.73 | $0.968 | $7.48 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.97 | $0.760 | $18.22 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 7.73 | $0.750 | $5.8 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.906 | $4.53 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.190 | $1.33 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.720 | $5.04 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.201 | $1.01 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 21.76 | $0.987 | $21.48 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.95 | $0.850 | $24.61 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.95 | $0.850 | $24.61 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.230 | $3.97 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.240 | $4.28 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionYes | sell | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionYes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.961 | $4.81 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.861 | $4.31 | Feb 3, 2026 |