Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 763.33 | $0.015 | $11.45 | Mar 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 166.67 |
| $0.090 |
| $15 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.007 | $20 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 44.77 | $0.223 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 419.36 | $0.048 | $20 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.032 | $10 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.009 | $50 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 UEFA Women’s Euro: Spain vs. Switzerland (To Advance)Spain | buy | 62.48 | $0.970 | $60.61 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.06K | $0.010 | $60.62 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 220.38 | $0.160 | $35.26 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.06K | $0.016 | $100 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 277.33 | $0.010 | $2.77 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.070 | $15.22 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 277.33 | $0.036 | $10 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Canada beat Mexico?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.310 | $50 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Canada election called before April?Yes | buy | 115.52 | $0.866 | $100 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.42K | $0.001 | $20.42 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 9.74K | $0.012 | $116.98 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.71K | $0.022 | $103.29 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.005 | $75 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 284.08 | $0.048 | $13.7 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.017 | $10 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 37.62 | $0.630 | $23.7 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.051 | $15 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.013 | $16.42 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.96K | $0.051 | $100 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.051 | $51.91 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.031 | $45 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.57K | $0.007 | $25 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.63 | $0.620 | $23.33 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 24.55 | $0.937 | $23 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Fauci?Yes | buy | 97.37 | $0.257 | $25 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Nuggets vs. SunsSuns | buy | 37.43 | $0.420 | $15.72 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Chiefs vs. SteelersChiefs | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Panthers vs. LightningLightning | buy | 21.8 | $0.490 | $10.68 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Vikings vs. SeahawksVikings | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | sell | 32.96 | $0.931 | $30.69 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 32.97 | $0.930 | $30.66 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?Yes | buy | 34.12 | $0.850 | $29 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?Yes | buy | 59.66 | $0.880 | $52.5 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?No | buy | 52.17 | $0.920 | $48 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.895 | $298.33 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 838.92 | $0.923 | $774.56 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.300 | $100 | Nov 2, 2024 |