Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.6%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 17 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 97 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2024 to 23 Mar 2025, the highest close was 98.7% on 21 Mar 2025 and the lowest 34% on 13 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 76.5% on 21 Dec 2024. $1.07M traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 6:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 97 points, 17 Dec 2024 – 23 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2024 | 65.5% |
| 23 Mar 2025 | 98.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NathanAU | No | 8.75K |
| trenchwarriorsol | No | 8.46K |
| rousseauuu | No | 7.92K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025, however federal elections have been called early numerous times in Canada's history, most recently in 2021. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 20, 2025, by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2024 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/canada-election-called-before-april
| No |
| 2.28K |
| SJpromaster | No | 1.86K |
| heuer | No | 1.79K |
| dollarbill | No | 1.66K |
| Canadatorontoman | No | 1.54K |
| Peeks | No | 800 |
| Gsa | No | 691.03 |
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