Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes | sell | 51.28 | $0.019 | $0.96 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 54.54 |
| $0.190 |
| $10.36 |
| Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?No | sell | 72.53 | $0.970 | $70.35 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will new pope be 70+ years old?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?No | buy | 74.63 | $0.670 | $50 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $310b and $320b on April 30?Yes | buy | 105.6 | $0.189 | $20 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $300b and $310b on April 30?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.211 | $20 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 54.55 | $0.550 | $30 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?No | buy | 72.54 | $0.689 | $50 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.780 | $43.33 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high by June 30?Yes | sell | 76.47 | $0.301 | $23.02 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 139.58 | $0.236 | $32.93 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | sell | 46.87 | $0.993 | $46.54 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 65.21 | $0.987 | $64.36 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 116.66 | $0.985 | $114.91 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.860 | $61.42 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?$2500 | buy | 35.93 | $0.590 | $21.2 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?$10 | buy | 115.59 | $0.433 | $50 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin be between $98000 and $100000 on February 14?Yes | buy | 157.89 | $0.190 | $30 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 96.15 | $0.570 | $54.81 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will courts block DOGE access to Treasury payments before March?No | buy | 205.03 | $0.034 | $7 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.230 | $25 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 128.88 | $0.388 | $50 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.700 | $50 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $3500 by February 28 2025?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?Yes | buy | 101.69 | $0.118 | $12 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 76.47 | $0.654 | $50 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 24-31?Yes | buy | 53.21 | $0.376 | $20 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will $Trump FDV be $25-30b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 169.32 | $0.591 | $100 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Tate tweet less than 160 times Jan 24-31?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?No | buy | 231.67 | $0.043 | $10 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Lily Phillips has sex with 1000+ men in a day?Yes | buy | 372.33 | $0.013 | $5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 116.67 | $0.600 | $70 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $30-35b on Feb 1?Yes | sell | 138.29 | $0.090 | $12.45 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $20-25b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 176.74 | $0.283 | $50 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $30-35b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 138.3 | $0.145 | $20 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will $MELANIA FDV be $1-3b on Friday?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.170 | $40 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will $MELANIA FDV be less than $1b on Friday?Yes | buy | 258.09 | $0.194 | $50 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 69.82 | $0.286 | $20 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 139.58 | $0.072 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high by January 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Less than 26m people watch Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.690 | $30 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,500 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.043 | $5 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.560 | $30 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 69.77 | $0.430 | $30 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.450 | $30 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | buy | 46.88 | $0.640 | $30 | Jan 7, 2025 |