Analytics
Resolved No on 8 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 48.5%. Yes opened at 56% on 25 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 25 Apr 2025 to 8 May 2025, the highest close was 60.5% on 30 Apr 2025 and the lowest 51.5% on 8 May 2025. $163.11K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 25 Apr 2025 – 8 May 2025, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2025 | 56.0% |
| 8 May 2025 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WhitneyHouston | Yes | 94.33 |
| Sympathetic-Anime | Yes | 73.21 |
| chrischrischrischris | Yes | 59.75 |
| booklove | Yes | 24.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first elected pope after Pope Francis is 70 years of age or older on the day of his election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-new-pope-be-70-years-old
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| torvikarts | Yes | 24.08 |
| Samaya | Yes | 18.18 |
| Sukram1930 | Yes | 13.55 |
| mv42blob | No | 12.2 |
| livyfu | No | 11.9 |
| Calm-Almond | Yes | 10.85 |
