Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 755.59 | $0.866 | $668.32 | +$14.1 |
 ByteDance IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.967 | $29.01 | 16d ago |
 |
| No |
| 506 |
| $0.929 |
| $492.59 |
| +$22.61 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.912 | $194.9 | +$12.5 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.963 | $98.35 | +$2.05 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.851 | $93.15 | +$8.05 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 455.56 | $0.708 | $79.72 | -$242.78 |
 Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.930 | $38.7 | +$1.5 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 40.41 | $0.898 | $38.63 | +$2.35 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 29.99 | $0.873 | $28.34 | +$2.15 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 20.92 | $0.956 | $20.3 | +$0.3 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.920 | $19.21 | +$0.81 |
 USD1 depeg by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $18.8 | +$1 |
| USDE depeg by December 31? | No | 16.16 | $0.880 | $15.21 | +$0.99 |
| buy |
| 305.56 |
| $0.720 |
| $220 |
| 24d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | 24d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | 27d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.989 | $39.56 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| ByteDance IPO before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.189 | $37.74 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $204 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?No | buy | 605.93 | $0.990 | $600 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 104.06 | $0.961 | $100 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in July?No | buy | 10 | $0.927 | $9.27 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in July?No | buy | 57.94 | $0.875 | $50.7 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Spread: Spain (-1.5)France | buy | 33.61 | $0.892 | $30 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.39 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 20.92 | $0.956 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5)England | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5)England | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5)France | buy | 41.58 | $0.962 | $40 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 206.61 | $0.968 | $200 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 34.88 | $0.860 | $30 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.900 | $300 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 203.25 | $0.984 | $200 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 40.94 | $0.977 | $40 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 43.01 | $0.930 | $40 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 219.78 | $0.910 | $200 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 219.78 | $0.910 | $200 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 21.16 | $0.945 | $20 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.080 | $1.38 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | sell | 225.41 | $0.087 | $19.56 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |