Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 244.14 | $0.758 | $185.05 | Dec 30, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No| sell |
| 190.19 |
| $0.960 |
| $182.58 |
| Dec 30, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 75.75 | $0.730 | $55.3 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 281.69 | $0.740 | $208.45 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1.89K | $0.821 | $1.55K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.89K | $0.847 | $1.6K | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Weed rescheduled by March 31?No | sell | 65.35 | $0.860 | $56.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 540.51 | $0.580 | $313.5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.33K | $0.930 | $1.24K | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.900 | $1.2K | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.56K | $0.760 | $1.18K | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.56K | $0.770 | $1.2K | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 68.97 | $0.029 | $2 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 US strike on Syria by December 31?No | sell | 1.26K | $0.813 | $1.03K | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 540.52 | $0.555 | $300 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 244.15 | $0.819 | $200 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 281.69 | $0.710 | $200 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| US strike on Syria by December 31?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.885 | $1K | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.708 | $94.33 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | sell | 168.87 | $0.250 | $42.22 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 107.14 | $0.280 | $30 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 143.53 | $0.697 | $100 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | sell | 68.49 | $0.940 | $64.38 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.922 | $15.9 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?No | sell | 31.74 | $0.920 | $29.2 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?No | sell | 135.13 | $0.986 | $133.25 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?No | sell | 770.39 | $0.942 | $725.99 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| US strike on Syria by December 31?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | sell | 1.45K | $0.711 | $1.03K | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | buy | 1.07K | $0.749 | $800 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | sell | 134.43 | $0.658 | $88.5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 641.49 | $0.770 | $493.95 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 224.71 | $0.900 | $202.24 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | buy | 135.36 | $0.739 | $100 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?No | sell | 131.44 | $0.925 | $121.64 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | sell | 136.98 | $0.720 | $98.63 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?No | sell | 146.95 | $0.962 | $141.33 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?No | buy | 213.48 | $0.890 | $190 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?No | sell | 119.04 | $0.994 | $118.33 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 218.33 | $0.810 | $176.85 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 43.53 | $0.850 | $37 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 74.65 | $0.670 | $50 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?No | buy | 113.48 | $0.881 | $100 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | buy | 139.44 | $0.717 | $100 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Dec 14, 2025 |