Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No | buy | 146.42 | $0.963 | $141 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 16.47 |
| $0.850 |
| $14 |
| Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 26.19 | $0.820 | $21.48 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 PGA Championship?No | buy | 65.86 | $0.987 | $65 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.880 | $16 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 21.85 | $0.995 | $21.74 | May 3, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | buy | 11.13 | $0.899 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?Yes | buy | 27.06 | $0.850 | $23 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 27.14 | $0.995 | $27 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.05 | $0.999 | $31.02 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 27.14 | $0.700 | $19 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.994 | $1.58K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.05 | $0.940 | $29.19 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.59K | $0.995 | $1.58K | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.5 | $0.435 | $7.17 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?Yes | sell | 21.61 | $0.979 | $21.16 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.995 | $1.58K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?Yes | buy | 21.57 | $0.972 | $20.98 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | buy | 1.59K | $0.994 | $1.58K | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 1.61K | $0.996 | $1.6K | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.5 | $0.606 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.996 | $1.6K | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 1.62K | $0.995 | $1.61K | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.410 | $6.03 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 1.62K | $0.995 | $1.61K | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 22.69 | $0.780 | $17.7 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 1.64K | $0.993 | $1.63K | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 26 | $0.354 | $9.2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?Yes | buy | 19.62 | $0.756 | $14.84 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 1.64K | $0.996 | $1.63K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March?No | sell | 15.2 | $0.994 | $15.11 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.42 | $0.860 | $21 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 26 | $0.923 | $24 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?No | sell | 11.09 | $0.999 | $11.08 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $3.00 in March?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.999 | $22.2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 22.34 | $0.999 | $22.32 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 22.39 | $0.999 | $22.37 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 26.47 | $0.999 | $26.44 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?No | buy | 11.1 | $0.849 | $9.42 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March?No | buy | 15.21 | $0.986 | $14.99 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 22.39 | $0.920 | $20.6 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 21.85 | $0.810 | $17.7 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 15.75 | $0.994 | $15.66 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 16.84 | $0.950 | $16 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 26.47 | $0.680 | $18 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?No | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in March?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.990 | $22 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 21.11 | $0.900 | $19 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 22.34 | $0.940 | $21 | Feb 19, 2026 |