Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.3%. Yes opened at 42% on 29 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 46 daily closes on record from 29 May 2026 to 13 Jul 2026, the highest close was 96.3% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 31.5% on 5 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 60% on 27 Jun 2026. $45.16K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 30, 10:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 29 May 2026 – 13 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 May 2026 | 42.0% |
| 13 Jul 2026 | 96.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.88K |
| Cheery-Intention | No | 1.41K |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 733 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Love Island USA is set to begin airing on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve according to the named woman, who is one of the two members of the couple officially declared the winners of Love Island USA Season 8 during the season finale, as aired in the US. The market will resolve based solely on the aired finale episode, regardless of any post-show developments or relationship changes. This market will resolve solely on the basis of membership in the winning couple. Any decisions regarding the allocation of prize money between the couple will not be considered. In the case of a tie, or if more than one woman is named as winner, this market will resolve in favor of the contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market may not resolve until a winner is declared. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant episode of Love Island USA Season 8 or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-love-island-usa-season-8-women
| No |
| 576.01 |
| Ivory Ledger 6EA6 | No | 380.19 |
| Similar-Platinum | No | 275.5 |
| ghoan | No | 270.72 |
| BikesAreTheBikes | No | 159.45 |
| arabellaaaa | No | 146.67 |
| YoungButOld | No | 100 |
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