Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?No | buy | 132.11 | $0.984 | $130 | 24d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 166.87 |
| $0.995 |
| $166 |
| 24d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 116.67 | $0.960 | $112 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | buy | 82.47 | $0.970 | $80 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 169.7 | $0.990 | $168 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 185.64 | $0.975 | $181 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 | buy | 175.79 | $0.950 | $167 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 179.41 | $0.981 | $176 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | buy | 170.21 | $0.940 | $160 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 136.64 | $0.988 | $135 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.994 | $139.16 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 157.89 | $0.950 | $150 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 186.53 | $0.965 | $180 | May 17, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 323.92 | $0.991 | $321 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?Yes | buy | 142.93 | $0.976 | $139.52 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?Up | buy | 181.09 | $0.993 | $179.82 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 146.61 | $0.989 | $145 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 174.74 | $0.950 | $166 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 129.03 | $0.930 | $120 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsAnyones Legend | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 88 | $0.998 | $87.82 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will XRP dip to $0.40 in February?No | buy | 181.27 | $0.993 | $180 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 117.89 | $0.950 | $112 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by January 31?No | buy | 293.23 | $0.989 | $290 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?No | buy | 215.28 | $0.994 | $214 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 69.32 | $0.981 | $68 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 283.69 | $0.987 | $280 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 9?Yes | buy | 273.55 | $0.998 | $273 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 9?No | buy | 72.14 | $0.998 | $72 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 342.05 | $0.994 | $340 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on November 4?No | buy | 273.09 | $0.996 | $272 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No | buy | 71.28 | $0.982 | $70 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?No | buy | 349.14 | $0.991 | $346 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 284.94 | $0.984 | $280.46 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 284.95 | $0.965 | $275 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 16?Yes | buy | 50.3 | $0.994 | $50 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 167.84 | $0.995 | $167 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 160.64 | $0.996 | $160 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 90 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 80.24 | $0.997 | $80 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Solana above $200 on August 4?No | buy | 260.32 | $0.999 | $260 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum close above $1800 on July 31?Yes | buy | 181.09 | $0.994 | $180 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2800 on July 18?No | buy | 144.43 | $0.997 | $144 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?No | buy | 170.85 | $0.995 | $170 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 155.31 | $0.998 | $155 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?No | buy | 150.3 | $0.998 | $150 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?No | buy | 130.26 | $0.998 | $130 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?No | buy | 180.36 | $0.998 | $180 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will SOL flip ETH before May?No | buy | 49.1 | $0.998 | $49 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 55.17 | $0.997 | $55 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in April?No | buy | 177.53 | $0.997 | $177 | Apr 2, 2025 |