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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 120.82 | $0.940 | $116.17 | +$2.62 |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | buy | 35.1 | $0.930 | $32.64 | Mar 18, 2026 |
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| No |
| 60 |
| $0.976 |
| $59.97 |
| +$1.41 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 50 | $0.976 | $49.88 | +$1.08 |
| buy |
| 60 |
| $0.985 |
| $59.1 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 58.95 | $0.973 | $57.36 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.988 | $29.64 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 61.82 | $0.972 | $60.09 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 40 | $0.986 | $39.44 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 47 | $0.995 | $46.77 | Feb 17, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 82.69 | $0.988 | $81.7 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No | buy | 60 | $0.995 | $59.7 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.077 | $1.54 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Jan 24, 2026 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 186.57 | $0.973 | $181.53 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.022 | $0.88 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | sell | 45.45 | $0.550 | $25 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 114.64 | $0.924 | $105.93 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 61.05 | $0.877 | $53.54 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 42 | $0.950 | $39.9 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 13.76 | $0.997 | $13.72 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.997 | $9.97 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.997 | $9.97 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.997 | $9.97 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.997 | $9.97 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.997 | $9.97 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 22.9 | $0.987 | $22.6 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 20 | $0.988 | $19.76 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 5 | $0.958 | $4.79 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 17 | $0.962 | $16.35 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 15 | $0.997 | $14.96 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 18.5 | $0.997 | $18.44 | Mar 23, 2025 |
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.999 | $57.41 | Feb 9, 2025 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Feb 9, 2025 |
Will someone else be inaugurated?No | buy | 107.36 | $0.997 | $107.04 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 107.69 | $0.994 | $107.04 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 107.69 | $0.964 | $103.81 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Will someone else be inaugurated?No | sell | 106.25 | $0.977 | $103.81 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 40.09 | $0.995 | $39.89 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 399.51 | $0.002 | $0.8 | Oct 15, 2024 |
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 575.97 | $0.998 | $574.82 | Aug 29, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 249.9 | $0.501 | $125.2 | Aug 29, 2024 |