Latest trade
Oct 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:54 PM UTC.
Analytics
GentleObservation is down $145.48 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 13 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-31 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:54 PM UTC.
$57.46 median trade
Its latest 43 trades covered 17 markets; 55.8% were buys. They run from Mar 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | No | 3.12 | $0.963 | $3.04 | +$0.04 |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.948 | $1.9 | 17d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-31 04:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 15:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
43 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 15:54 UTC
polymarket positions
14 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-31 04:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $313.34 and losing ones cost $1.66 across 13 settled positions. 61.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $223.13 on “Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage” (The Last Resort); the largest loss, $0.48 on “Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 Oct 2026. It has traded 17 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.94 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 2 |
| $0.948 |
| $1.89 |
| -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 3.12 |
| $0.963 |
| $3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 962.99 | $0.080 | $77.04 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 485 | $0.080 | $38.8 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 477.99 | $0.080 | $38.24 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 56.99 | $0.089 | $5.07 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 965 | $0.089 | $85.88 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 491.99 | $0.072 | $35.42 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 530 | $0.072 | $38.16 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)Villarreal CF | buy | 466 | $0.969 | $451.55 | May 2, 2026 UTC |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 462 | $0.971 | $448.6 | May 2, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 462 | $0.972 | $449.06 | May 2, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5)Çaykur Rizespor | buy | 452 | $0.961 | $434.37 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 466 | $0.927 | $431.98 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 466 | $0.928 | $432.45 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP | buy | 480 | $0.048 | $23.04 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP | buy | 551 | $0.048 | $26.45 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?Yes | sell | 489 | $0.067 | $32.76 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?Yes | sell | 562 | $0.067 | $37.65 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 489 | $0.059 | $28.85 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 562 | $0.059 | $33.16 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-2.5)Modena FC 2018 | buy | 493 | $0.935 | $460.96 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?No | sell | 477 | $0.965 | $460.31 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?No | buy | 477 | $0.966 | $460.78 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 79 | $0.942 | $74.42 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 61 | $0.942 | $57.46 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 79 | $0.943 | $74.5 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 80 | $0.943 | $75.44 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 60 | $0.943 | $56.58 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 60 | $0.943 | $56.58 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 40 | $0.943 | $37.72 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 30 | $0.943 | $28.29 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | buy | 489 | $0.941 | $460.15 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 PlayoffsPlayers | buy | 1.05K | $0.280 | $293.72 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 PlayoffsPlayers | buy | 407 | $0.280 | $113.96 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | sell | 150 | $0.842 | $126.3 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | sell | 50 | $0.853 | $42.65 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | buy | 200 | $0.846 | $169.2 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageThe Last Resort | buy | 201 | $0.470 | $94.47 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageThe Last Resort | buy | 220 | $0.470 | $103.4 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 398 | $0.035 | $13.93 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.034 | $6.8 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 198 | $0.034 | $6.73 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.