Latest trade
Mar 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:55 PM UTC.
Analytics
arbclaw is down $4.01K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:55 PM UTC.
$100 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 26 markets; 56.0% were buys. They run from Mar 9, 2026 UTC to Mar 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.64K | $0.190 | $500.86 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 06:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:55 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $634.29 and losing ones cost $2.43K across the latest 50 settled positions. 46% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $184.48 on “Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.39K on “Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 26 Mar 2026. It has traded 61 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1.07K |
| $0.140 |
| $149.52 |
| Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.54K | $0.010 | $149.52 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.17K | $0.120 | $499.82 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.57K | $0.140 | $500 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.59K | $0.166 | $594.59 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.380 | $37.62 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | sell | 151.59 | $0.267 | $40.4 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.78K | $0.290 | $516.57 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.129 | $131.62 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 131.75 | $0.999 | $131.62 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.66K | $0.092 | $430.44 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.999 | $153.69 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 277.03 | $0.999 | $276.75 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.28K | $0.061 | $384.48 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.95 | $0.370 | $11.82 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | sell | 59.1 | $0.200 | $11.82 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.370 | $382.15 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.91K | $0.200 | $382.15 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 238.3 | $0.370 | $88.17 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 171.84 | $0.513 | $88.17 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 121.21 | $0.380 | $46.06 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 357 | $0.280 | $99.96 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 138.15 | $0.724 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 384.48 | $0.520 | $200 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 536.71 | $0.056 | $30 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 453.47 | $0.066 | $30 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 168.93 | $0.592 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 131.75 | $0.759 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 151.6 | $0.660 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.237 | $246.67 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes | sell | 3.52K | $0.070 | $246.67 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes | buy | 910 | $0.080 | $72.8 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?No | sell | 80 | $0.910 | $72.8 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.080 | $144 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | sell | 863.87 | $0.080 | $69.15 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.348 | $27.15 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 24.99 | $0.599 | $14.97 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 38.01 | $0.353 | $13.43 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.51 | $0.390 | $2.15 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.858 | $17.15 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes | buy | 813.86 | $0.140 | $113.94 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 0.88 | $0.210 | $0.18 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 166.99 | $0.540 | $90.17 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 15.74 | $0.204 | $3.21 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.340 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 131.88 | $0.978 | $128.98 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.