Will Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 16, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 16, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 23 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 53 daily closes on record from 23 Jan 2026 to 16 Mar 2026, the highest close was 44.5% on 23 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 16 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 4.5% on 24 Jan 2026.

69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 4:49 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 23 Jan 2026 – 16 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
23 Jan 2026	44.5%
16 Mar 2026	1.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	40.63K
Donoriol	Yes	1.53K
Unusual-Industry	Yes	1.38K

10 of 69 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Sound. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Score when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.