Latest trade
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:24 AM UTC.
Analytics
Amber Signal 3E23 is down $713.3 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 13 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:24 AM UTC.
$158.15 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 16 markets; 66.0% were buys. They run from Jul 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 13, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 21.98K | $0.146 | $2.97K | -$243.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.100 | $120 | 11d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 13:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 06:24 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 06:24 UTC
polymarket positions
15 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 13:31 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $686.84 and losing ones cost $1.31K across 13 settled positions. 15.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $659.11 on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” (No); the largest loss, $467.32 on “US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 13 Oct 2026. It has traded 16 markets. Its open positions are worth $4K across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.81K |
| $0.182 |
| $548.37 |
| +$35.33 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 10.01K | $0.055 | $350.49 | -$204.53 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.01K | $0.041 | $135.21 | -$111.79 |
| sell |
| 150 |
| $0.150 |
| $22.5 |
| 19d ago |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Yes | sell | 369.47 | $0.053 | $19.56 | 19d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 202.79 | $0.800 | $162.23 | 20d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 27.82 | $0.220 | $6.12 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?No | buy | 62.85 | $0.130 | $8.17 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 428.43 | $0.140 | $59.98 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?No | buy | 720.37 | $0.090 | $65.11 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | sell | 8.78K | $0.016 | $137.23 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.193 | $333.38 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.01K | $0.041 | $247 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 728.38 | $0.820 | $597.27 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.99K | $0.060 | $180.31 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.140 | $196 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 640.44 | $0.250 | $160.11 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.73K | $0.062 | $168.05 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.06K | $0.058 | $177.53 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 776.38 | $0.240 | $186.33 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.77K | $0.140 | $387.95 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 5.64K | $0.082 | $465 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?No | buy | 4.07K | $0.038 | $156.03 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.130 | $210.84 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes | sell | 839.59 | $0.140 | $117.37 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 543.48 | $0.320 | $173.91 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.48K | $0.194 | $1.07K | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.39K | $0.126 | $428.85 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 690.45 | $0.127 | $87.9 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 833.76 | $0.110 | $91.71 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.118 | $156.19 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.120 | $169.53 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.140 | $205.92 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.130 | $223.25 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.120 | $196.7 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes | sell | 936.4 | $0.058 | $54.62 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes | buy | 839.6 | $0.181 | $152.35 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 833.76 | $0.122 | $101.73 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 543.48 | $0.250 | $135.87 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 552.24 | $0.237 | $130.64 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 552.24 | $0.250 | $138.06 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.01K | $0.055 | $555.03 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.380 | $387.14 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 630.7 | $0.620 | $391.03 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 630.7 | $0.700 | $441.49 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 1.49K | $0.300 | $445.78 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.080 | $88.79 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Yes | buy | 369.47 | $0.084 | $30.94 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.