Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 8.16 | $0.850 | $7.46 | +$0.53 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 2.43 |
| $0.850 |
| $2.07 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 10.59 | $0.850 | $9 | May 31, 2026 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 141.76 | $0.776 | $110 | May 31, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 268.22 | $0.180 | $48.28 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?Yes | sell | 110.86 | $0.023 | $2.5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 11.37K | $0.002 | $22.74 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 16.67K | $0.003 | $50 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 10K | $0.003 | $30 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 5K | $0.003 | $15 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 5K | $0.003 | $15 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | sell | 20.61 | $0.587 | $12.09 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | sell | 136.3 | $0.885 | $120.64 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 145.62 | $0.370 | $53.88 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | sell | 105.83 | $0.480 | $50.8 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.033 | $1.94 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 137.52 | $0.931 | $128.01 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?Yes | buy | 110.87 | $0.045 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 82.48 | $0.727 | $60 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?No | buy | 102.35 | $0.049 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | sell | 188 | $0.981 | $184.41 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?No | sell | 54.44 | $0.250 | $13.61 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 188 | $0.830 | $156.04 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Yes | sell | 74.97 | $0.003 | $0.22 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?No | buy | 54.44 | $0.500 | $27.22 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 27.92 | $0.036 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win no awards at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 112.75 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Yes | buy | 74.97 | $0.013 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | sell | 42.3 | $0.974 | $41.22 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | buy | 105.84 | $0.550 | $58.21 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 72.77 | $0.746 | $54.25 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?Yes | buy | 13.44 | $0.640 | $8.6 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Yes | sell | 47.81 | $0.180 | $8.61 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 42.31 | $0.940 | $39.77 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Yes | buy | 47.81 | $0.627 | $30 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?Yes | buy | 44.78 | $0.670 | $30 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 56.15 | $0.530 | $29.76 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 59.61 | $0.671 | $40 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | Dec 1, 2025 |