Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 89.5%. Yes opened at 89.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 17 Dec 2025, the price held at 89.5%. $1.34M traded over the market's life.
376 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 17 Dec 2025, chart shows 84%–96%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 89.5% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | 89.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 10050411 | No | 179.47K |
| Rectangular-Cable | No | 102.2K |
| czdebaba | No | 42.45K |
| pelisek16 | No | 31.11K |
| 1341e | No | 20.12K |
| Fabulous-Thirst | No | 19.46K |
| qwerty6 | No | 13.33K |
| username4user | No | 12.79K |
| kyryllgr | No | 11.38K |
| username8346 | No | 8.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gemini-3pt0-flash-released-by-december-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
