Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.69 | $0.669 | $1.68 | +$0.55 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.669 | $1.13 | Mar 30, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.35 |
| $0.740 |
| $1 |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.965 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1.76 | $0.830 | $1.46 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 9?Yes | buy | 3.66 | $0.970 | $3.55 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.77 | $0.860 | $46.24 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.850 | $1.5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.984 | $3.5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.24 | $0.870 | $44.58 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.997 | $1.49 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.33 | $0.870 | $28.13 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 4 | $0.984 | $3.94 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.920 | $2.42 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.970 | $1.39 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.986 | $1.48 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.870 | $2.56 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | sell | 6.13 | $0.987 | $6.05 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.3 | $0.740 | $3.18 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.981 | $10.11 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 13.46 | $0.987 | $13.29 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 13.47 | $0.989 | $13.32 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.84 | $0.978 | $1.8 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.975 | $1.4 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.983 | $5.4 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.978 | $6 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.950 | $2.5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.950 | $1.43 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.890 | $1.43 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.03 | $0.810 | $29.99 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 151.73 | $0.627 | $95.13 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 151.73 | $0.800 | $121.38 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 121.38 | $0.962 | $116.77 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 116.76 | $0.890 | $103.92 | May 18, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 91.95 | $0.983 | $90.39 | May 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.54 | $0.930 | $12.59 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 91.96 | $0.970 | $89.2 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 101.79 | $0.980 | $99.75 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 121.66 | $0.820 | $99.75 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 121.67 | $0.821 | $99.89 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 28.29 | $0.998 | $28.23 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.66 | $0.968 | $20 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 48.37 | $0.997 | $48.22 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 48.37 | $0.995 | $48.13 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No | sell | 10.12 | $0.989 | $10.01 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.820 | $19.29 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes | sell | 23.25 | $0.810 | $18.83 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 20.37 | $0.987 | $20.11 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Jan 6, 2025 |