Latest trade
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 6:26 AM UTC.
Analytics
Mengyuan is down $13.5 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 6:26 AM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 134 trades covered 104 markets; 80.6% were buys. They run from Aug 6, 2024 UTC to Oct 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.53 | $0.930 | $7.33 | +$0.33 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.952 | $5 | 13d ago |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 03:28 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-17 06:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
134 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-17 06:26 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-03 08:59 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $23.5 and losing ones cost $8.74 across the latest 50 settled positions. 86% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6 on “Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3 on “Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?” (Yes).
It first traded on 6 Aug 2024 and most recently on 3 Oct 2026. It has traded 104 markets. Its open positions are worth $25.86 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 7.29 |
| $0.960 |
| $7.13 |
| +$0.13 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 5.25 | $0.952 | $5.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 6.76 | $0.148 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 5.22 |
| $0.957 |
| $5 |
| 13d ago |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | 13d ago |
 Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.956 | $7 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.930 | $7 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.148 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.983 | $7 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.960 | $7 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.975 | $6 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.936 | $6 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7.19 | $0.973 | $7 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.270 | $1.29 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 8.45 | $0.947 | $8 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 9.37 | $0.961 | $9 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 9.78 | $0.920 | $9 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.194 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.065 | $0.5 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | sell | 5.28 | $0.999 | $5.27 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.999 | $5.36 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.968 | $6 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 5.61 | $0.952 | $5.34 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 5.23 | $0.956 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes | sell | 5.57 | $0.956 | $5.32 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 X banned in U.K. by March 31?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.997 | $5.21 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 5.57 | $0.897 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | sell | 8.27 | $0.978 | $8.09 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.120 | $0.19 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.039 | $0.13 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 8.27 | $0.967 | $8 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 5.3 | $0.944 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.985 | $5.29 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.095 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
| X banned in U.K. by March 31?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.956 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 5.42 | $0.922 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.900 | $4 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.991 | $3.16 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.